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Whenever I miss a wave of market movement, I like to go to Macau to practice. In Macau, there are all professional Texas Hold'em tables, and I basically never win money, but I always think it's a great place to train my thinking skills. With 700U, I can practice for an entire afternoon, which I think is actually not expensive.
1. Action Line
Review your own trades, why didn’t you buy xxx, why didn’t you increase your position? It’s actually a matter of personal action line.
Your personality, trading style, and whether you will put a certain amount of chips on the table at a certain time are all causally related. To expect a player who plays big to go for the meme in the inner market is itself a kind of harshness. Blaming yourself for not buying xx at xx point is actually a kind of internal consumption.
If you want to become that kind of person, you must cultivate similar action lines and trading habits to possibly make such trades.
2. Execution Power
I feel that I have gone through several stages. The first stage was without strategy or courage, knowing nothing and daring to do nothing. The second stage was having courage without strategy, having the courage to increase positions, but facing large-scale drawdowns. Now I am experiencing the third stage, which is having strategy without courage, regarding this epic opportunity.
#aster #four #giggle
I placed bets at relatively reasonable points, aster at 0.17, four at 17m, gig at 3m, and actually achieved a reasonable reduction range. The average reduction price for aster is 1.3, for four is 1.4, and for gig is 1.2, but the only reason is that the bet size was incorrect.
After experiencing two major drawdowns in 2022 and 2023, and a significant improvement in life after Trump in 2025, I developed a real sense of money, which led to fear and mechanical betting when I identified good opportunities.
3. Lack of Deep Understanding of Win Rate and Odds
I made a few baccarat trades and lost money, which caused me to lose confidence, and then I drastically reduced my betting size. I think the solution is to stop playing baccarat, to say no to every penny that is outside my understanding, and to give enough respect to low win rate, high odds targets. At that time, I had already made a mistake with #tst when it was at 20M, having captured it as an epic opportunity and documented it, but I still bought 3wu and just muddled through.
4. Obsession with Comparisons
When the environment changes, a large-scale "benefit effect" appears in the group and on Twitter, I did not stay true to myself and participated in the tail-end market that I once hated, resulting in some losses. Although the amount was not large, the action line was problematic.
5. Professional Habits
I have always complained about running off to play during epic market movements. In reality, it reflects a lack of professional ethics. Compared to myself from 2021 to 2024, my desire to make money and the importance I place on the market have decreased. This translates into action as fishing for three days and drying nets for two days. On September 28, when the market showed signs of improvement, I could have completely given up traveling (the sunk cost was only 20,000 U), or when the market fully started on October 2, I could have completely given up all subsequent plans, sitting down in a place with good internet and starting to grind. But in reality, I still chose to "play while working."
6. Lack of Communication
During this major market movement, I intermittently communicated with @silverfang88 @SatoshiNobility @Mirro7777 @wamgmgmg @0xmasiwei, but I feel that my initiative was not enough. Often, it was others who approached me first, and I passively "opened communication." In fact, I did not lose money this round, largely thanks to these good mentors and friends. Having good ideas, I did not deepen my views, just bought a few tens of thousands of U and started slacking off, which is also irresponsible. I should communicate more with others, exchange information, and improve my win rate. The most regrettable is still aster; I made a decision to go all in, set a DCA, and then went to play Hades 2, not being proactive, waiting for others to come to me, and did not seek out higher-cognition individuals for 1V1 calls. Four was the same; @SatoshiNobility made an all-in decision at 17M, while I bought 2wu and started slacking off. @wamgmgmg went all in on four at 0.4, and I also did not pay attention or make calls to communicate.
7. Stagnation of Social Circles
I have been relying on my old social capital and have not actively expanded my social circle. I have stopped participating in communities and updating content, tilling my small plot of land until dawn. In a situation where I am not "that rich," I chose a semi-retirement, which is actually a kind of arrogance. Before I can truly lie flat, I should maintain a unified effort.
8. Balancing Family/Career
I have developed a dependency on lying in a gentle environment and slacking off, while also developing a real sense of daily expenses. For example, 1000U is enough to hire a maid for 2 months, 10wu is enough to complete the budget for giving birth in the U.S., and 20wu is enough to handle overseas identity matters, etc. I gradually equate living expenses with market betting chips, without making clear financial plans about which part is for living and which part is for betting.
Conclusion:
Keep practicing.
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